The UN climate panel still doesn’t understand technology — and it matters

Scenarios past and present

Flaws in climate scenarios

Source: Adapted from Van Vuuren et al., 2011, and IPCC, 2014.
Note that the vertical axis of the chart is logarithmic, increasing by a factor of 10 at each major interval, which means the trajectory is exponential

Projections to 2100… seriously?

Anti-technology sentiments in conventional environmental orthodoxy

When you don’t know enough to know you’re being fooled

Predicting the future is hard

Refusing to admit past mistakes only feeds conspiracy theories

Getting technology wrong in climate scenarios does real harm



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